MOSCOW, June 13 — It is not an easy thing to quantify, much less to
prove. But among intellectuals and advocates of a democratic Russia in
the Western mode, a gnawing concern is arising that the relative freedom
from state surveillance and restriction that citizens have relished in
the last decade may be drawing to a close.
Supplanting it is a resurgent government obsession with internal
security and threats from abroad — a phenomenon that they say has set
off a limited but growing crackdown on supposed challenges to the state.
The evidence itself is scattered. It ranges from a string of arrests
of Russian scholars, to the revival of old curbs on international
scientific cooperation, to the seeming harassment of some political
critics and dissidents, to a growing conviction among some intellectuals
that their telephones are again being tapped and their e-mail read.
As much as any crackdown, what unsettles them is the failure of
President Vladimir V. Putin, himself a product of the state security
machine, to restrain or even speak out against it.
"It has not yet acquired the scope which would go deep under the
skin of ordinary Russians. They have known much worse," Georgi
Arbatov, the director emeritus of the government's Institute of
U.S.A.-Canada Studies and a veteran analyst of East-West relations, said
in an interview. "But there are some not very good signs.
"Having become the leader of this country, he has to explain
that he does not want to return to some past practices. The sooner he
dispels all these rumors, the better."
Never far from the surface of these concerns, of course, is the
memory of Russia's seven decades as a rigid and ruthless police state.
Virtually no one believes that a return to those days is either
contemplated or even possible; whatever the flaws in Russia's justice
system and its press, most Russians, though not all, enjoy basic civil
liberties.
The Kremlin proposed judicial reforms this month that should underpin
those liberties if carried out.
But Mr. Putin himself has rung alarm bells by suggesting that Russia
requires what he calls a "managed democracy" headed by a
strong central government. Over the Kremlin's insistence that it is
irrevocably dedicated to basic freedoms, some liberals here call that a
euphemism for authoritarian rule.
Top government posts have increasingly been filled by veterans of the
military and intelligence, agencies that clung to a cold-war notion of
security even in Russian democracy's most liberal days.
Many liberals question whether those and other officials, often
steeped for decades in the Soviet bureaucracy before making quick
changes in ideologies and jobs, have put the paranoia and xenophobia of
Communist days behind them.
"They do just what they have been taught to do," said
Sergei Kovalyov, a dissident who survived imprisonment in the infamous
Perm-36 gulag in Siberia and is now in Parliament. "It's the only
thing they can do. And that's why there is nothing surprising in the way
they understand order in this country and what kind of order they are
going to bring."
In the eyes of Mr. Kovalyov and other activists, a flurry of events
in the last year are evocative of a dormant era when all outsiders were
viewed as potential enemies — and challenging the established order
could easily make one an outsider.
Some of those events, like the military's insistence that the nuclear
submarine Kursk was probably sunk 10 months ago by a collision with a
foreign sub spying on naval war games, amount to little more than words.
Others have more serious consequences.
Only today the Federal Security Service's Omsk regional office
announced that it had reprimanded Elizabeth Sweet, an American lecturer
at the State University of Omsk, after counterintelligence officers
learned that she had asked students to examine the economic health of
local businesses. Most of the region's industry is military-related.
The security service said that such information could harm the image
and competitiveness of businesses if published abroad, but it stopped
short of expelling Ms. Sweet. It said, though, that the renewal of her
teaching contract was now in doubt.
In Kaluga, 85 miles west of Moscow, Igor Sutyagin, a Russian military
analyst at the Institute of U.S.A.- Canada Studies, Mr. Arbatov's old
agency, is on trial for high treason, accused of passing state secrets.
International scientific organizations and Mr. Sutyagin's colleagues
call the proceeding a sham, noting that he had no access to classified
information. The charges appear based on his acceptance of a contract
with a London consulting firm to write military analyses.
In Krasnoyarsk, in southern Siberia, a university scientist was
charged with high treason in April for fulfilling a contract with a
Chinese company to supply research on shielding satellites from
radiation. His colleagues said the information was based on documents
declassified 10 years ago.
In Vladivostok, a military court is beginning a second trial of
Grigory Pasko, a military journalist accused of treason after helping
Japanese television journalists report on the Russian naval fleet's
dumping of nuclear waste at sea. Mr. Pasko was acquitted on the same
charge in 1999; the Supreme Military Collegium ordered a retrial this
year.
Civil rights advocates disclosed last week that the Russian Academy
of Sciences had ordered scientists and their supervisors to restrict
contacts with outsiders, report on trips abroad and submit potentially
sensitive scientific papers for prepublication review, among other
curbs.
The academy has not commented on the rules, some of which are said to
apply only to classified scientific work and others to all scientists.
Privately, civil liberties advocates here say similar restrictions have
been put in place in other government agencies that have regular contact
with foreigners.
Right or wrong, many intellectuals and activists now take it as a
given that their telephone conversations and e-mail are monitored —
something that, while surely not unthinkable, was hardly a major concern
even two or three years ago.
Since 1995, Russian law has required all telephone and Internet
services to maintain devices that allow the Federal Security Service,
the post-Soviet evolution of the K.G.B., to monitor any and all
transmissions. The service is required to seek a warrant before
conducting a wiretap, but because it wields almost complete control over
the process, it is not known how rigidly that requirement is followed.
The United States government has recently advised certain private
entities that maintain regular contact with Russian officials, academics
or businesses to assume that the Russians are monitoring all
conversations.
Leaders of Yabloko, one of the political parties that promote
Western-style democratic values, worried at a meeting in St. Petersburg
on Saturday that Russia was becoming a society with the trappings of
freedom, but controlled in reality from the top.
The Union of Right Forces, the other major liberal party, has
publicly expressed concern of late that Russia could become a liberal
economic state controlled by an authoritarian leadership.
Still, many in Russia's democratic elite are reluctant to tie the
resurgence of suspicion and security measures directly to Mr. Putin, a
former K.G.B. agent who was director of the Federal Security Service not
six months before becoming president.
The more benevolent view is that his ascension has been read by
Russia's security organs as a green light to return to old habits — or
that the crackdown is a ham-handed attempt by midlevel bureaucrats to
curry favor with the new president.
"During the 90's they were on the periphery of the
establishment," said Igor Bunin, the head of Moscow's nonpartisan
Center for Political Technologies. "Suddenly, they were all taken
inside, right into the core of it. And they all decided that they have
to prove that they are in demand, that they are needed by the
state."
What is very likely under way, Mr. Bunin said, is a spate of muscle-
flexing by the old crowd that has returned to control in some of the
most powerful cabinet agencies.
"It also must be admitted that nobody has tried to cool them
down and tell them they shouldn't be too zealous about it," he
added.
That troubles many democratic and civil-rights advocates most of all.
Many, though hardly all, of the best-known incidents involve the Federal
Security Service — the closest modern equivalent to the domestic arm
of the K.G.B. that once weeded dissenters and wrong-thinkers out of
Soviet society and into gulags.
By not speaking out, they say, Mr. Putin has tacitly endorsed actions
that seem devised to send a public message that there are limits to
challenging the state and to consorting with the potential enemy.
"Some people are concerned," Mr. Arbatov said. "And
it's not good. I think with the history we have, you cannot play games
with such issues."
One who knows that history well is Sergei Grigoryants, another
prominent dissident, who spent 10 years in Soviet prison camps in the
1970's and 1980's and who has been a fierce critic of the reluctant way
that Russia has introduced democracy.
On June 4, he publicly accused the Federal Security Service of
harassing Russian youth groups that did not display government-approved
ideological bents. Two days later, after passing customs, passport and
security controls at Sheremetyevo Airport in Moscow, he was approached
by some 10 security officers as he sat in a boarding lounge, awaiting a
flight to Washington. He was taken away and interrogated for five hours
and his airline ticket and $3,000 in cash were seized.
The next day he made his trip to Washington. In a telephone interview
from Washington, he insisted that he had violated no rules, but that
when he arrived home from the airport he was unable to make telephone
calls and that when his Washington host called him, the line went dead
in midconversation.
Michael McFaul, a scholar at the Carnegie Endowment for International
Peace who had invited Mr. Grigoryants to a Washington seminar discussing
Russia's decade of independence, was the caller. In an interview, he
said the incident fit a pattern of increasing surveillance and
harassment.
"As for what has concretely happened, the incidents are
few," he said. "But the atmosphere they have created is one of
paranoia." People were now worrying about what would happen to
them, he said, adding: "They have a lot more to lose now. It's
amazing how fear can make you do certain things."