President Bush says he came away from his
first meeting with Russian President Vladimir V. Putin with "a
sense of his soul" and a belief that the former Soviet KGB
operative is "trustworthy." That effusive summing up, based on
only two hours of talks, follows a presidential campaign that saw Bush
scolding his predecessor for being too soft on Russia and Bush advisers
signaling that a harder line toward Moscow would be in the offing.
Democrats aren't about to let Bush's
apparent about-face pass without comment. Senate Foreign Relations
Committee Chairman Joseph R. Biden Jr. (D-Del.) says that he for one
doesn't trust Putin and he hopes the Bush remarks were more style than
substance.
As American presidents from Franklin D. Roosevelt and Harry S. Truman on
have learned, it is not personalities and bonhomie that determine how
Washington's relations with Moscow go; it is bedrock considerations of
national interests and the policies to carry them out. The differences
in competing U.S. and Russian national interests are distinct and acute
and unlikely to be significantly redefined just because the two
presidents seem comfortable with each other.
Two key policy differences stand out. Bush
wants to build a national missile defense system, based on technology
that is so far unproven. That's reason enough for proceeding slowly with
a project whose cost could reach $100 billion. But Bush, to the distress
of most of the European allies and to Russia's alarm, is determined to
rush ahead. Moscow fears that the defensive system is in fact a U.S.
effort to gain strategic superiority by neutralizing the effectiveness
of Russia's missile force. That perception, however wrong it may be, has
not been adequately addressed by the administration.
Nor has Moscow's worry over U.S. support
for expanding NATO been allayed. That expansion includes bringing in the
Baltic states, putting the alliance on Russia's border. For good
historical reasons, Estonia, Latvia and Lithuania want international
protection from a potential revival of Russian imperialism. But for
other historical reasons, Russia, so often invaded from the west, views
with some anxiety having NATO take root in neighboring states.
Bush and Putin plan to meet again, at a
G-8 summit next month and later in Russia and at Bush's Texas ranch.
Meanwhile, high-level officials plan to talk over strategic and
political issues. The Bush-Putin get-acquainted session was a sunny
moment. But the contest of national interests goes on, and the challenge
of reconciling competing U.S. and Russian goals is as great as ever.