BY PAUL QUINN-JUDGE
MOSCOW
After almost three hours with Vladimir Putin, you realize why Boris
Yeltsin and George Bush were so impressed. He is articulate, fiercely
well-briefed, attentive to his interlocutors and, when he feels the
need, faintly self-deprecating. But you also wonder whether either man
fully sensed the knuckle inside the glove. A long meeting with Putin
last week offered a small group of U.S. journalists an unusual chance to
observe him up close. It also let Putin fine-tune his message for the
Bush Administration: if things go well while he is in office, Putin will
be a charming colleague; if things go badly — in arms control,
Chechnya or any other area where he feels Russia's honor and survival
are at stake — he will be unflinchingly ruthless. Fascinating though
it was, however, the meeting offered no insight into how this fluent
speaker could pull Russia out of its many crises.
He arrived almost two hours late, straight from his fourth appointment
of the day, and talked for nearly three hours. Toward 11 p.m., when his
press secretary announced the meeting was over, Putin issued a
mock-dramatic "Thank God." He was in charge the whole time,
despite the odd modest aside or the playful complaint that it was unfair
to ask him a question while he was eating a pastry. His quips were
well-rehearsed, his relaxed demeanor the result of intense discipline.
He looked each questioner deeply in the eye. Irritation surfaced only
briefly. When a reporter posed a repetitious query about U.S.-Russian
consultations, the President snapped that he'd already answered — then
caught himself and responded at length. When an interpreter asked him to
repeat a word, he barked it out impatiently.
The meeting offered a distilled version of Putin's worldview: his
jealous concern for Russia's international prestige, and thus his own.
His anxiety about the threats to his country from within, like Chechnya,
and without, like terrorism. His anger at the way state power was
undermined by privatization and humiliated by the Chechnya debacle. His
long comments on these subjects came close to being a repudiation of his
patron, Boris Yeltsin.
The main theme, however, was that Russia should not be taken for
granted. Moscow has no illusions about its reduced situation since the
breakup of the Soviet Union, he said, but it is not prepared to accept
second-tier status. "On the world stage everyone is equal,"
said Putin. If one power tries to dictate to the rest, they will unite
against "the potential imperialist." If the U.S. wants to work
with Russia on fixing the flaws in the Anti-Ballistic Missile Treaty,
that is fine. If the U.S. goes it alone, so will Russia. If necessary,
it will rearm its strategic missiles with multiple warheads. "This
will cost a paltry amount, hardly anything," he warned. U.S.
protests about Russian technology transfers to so-called rogue states
like Iran are motivated by the desire to stop Russia from selling its
weapons overseas, he complained, not by proliferation concerns. He even
asserted that U.S. businesses are already in contact with the Iranian
government. "We know who, where and when they have meetings,"
he said. "I gave President Bush some names." To Putin, the gap
between critic and enemy is narrow. He said the justification for the
war in Chechnya — that separatism and terrorism present a mortal
danger to Russia's territorial integrity — is so self-evident that he
is tired of repeating it. Any "campaign" in the press against
Chechnya "is simply a conscious effort to use the Chechen situation
to shake the foundations of the Russian Federation."
Putin's inspiration is not Gorbachev's humanism or Yeltsin's laissez
faire, but what he called the frondeur — faintly rebellious —
atmosphere of the KGB's external intelligence in the 1980s, when young
officers like him first saw the outside world contradicting the
"brainwashing" they'd received at home. They rejected the
propaganda but retained their "patriotism and love for the
Motherland," he said. Lines like these help keep his popularity
high. But Russian opinion is a strange thing: love can swing, almost
overnight, to scorn when people decide that their leader is a boltun, a
wind-bag. Putin's performance last week gave no hint as to how or when
he would actually start producing the change Russia needs, instead of
just wowing his visitors.